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Blois, J.L., Williams, J.W., Fitzpatrick, M.C., Ferrier, S., Veloz, S., He, F., Liu, Z., Manion, G., and B. Otto-Bliesner (in press, Ecography). Modeling the climatic drivers of vegetation compositional dissimilarity since the Last Glacial Maximum.
Williams, J.W.., Ordonez, A., Notaro, M., Veloz, S., and Vimont, D.J. (2012). Climatic analogs, climate velocity, and potential shifts in vegetation structure and biomass for Wisconsin under 21st-century climate-change scenarios. Environmental and Economic Research and Development Program, Focus on Energy Madison, WI.
Goring, S.J., Williams, J.W., Blois, J.L., Jackson, S.T., Paciorek, C.J., Booth, R.K., Marlon, J.R., Blaauw, M. and J.A. Christen (2012). Deposition times in the northeastern United States during the Holocene: establishing valid priors for Bayesian age models. Quaternary Science Reviews 48:54-60
Parker, N.E. and Williams, J.W. (2012). Influences of Climate, Cattle Density, and Lake Morphology on Sporormiella Abundances in Modern Lake Sediments in the U.S. Great Plains. The Holocene 22:475-483
Veloz, S., Williams, J.W., Vimont, D. J., Vavrus, S., Lorenz, D. J. & Notaro, M. (2012). Identifying climatic analogs for Wisconsin under 21st-century climate-change scenarios. Climatic Change 112: 1037-1058
Schwartz, M. W., J. J. Hellmann, J. McLachlan, D. F. Sax, J. o. Borevitz, J. Brennan, A. E. Camacho, G. Ceballos, J. R. Clark, H. Doremus, R. Early, J. R. Etterson, E. D. Fielder, J. L. Gill, P. Gonzalez, N. Green, L. Hannah, D. W. Jamieson, D. Javeline, B. A. Minteer, J. Odenbaugh, S. Polasky, D. M. Richardson, T. L. Root, H. D. Safford, O. E. Sala, S. H. Schneider, A. R. Thompson, J. W. Williams, M. Vellend, P. Vitt, and S. Zellmer. 2012. Managed Relocation: Integrating the Scientific, Regulatory, and Ethical Challenges. Bioscience 62:732-743
Williams, J.W., Kharouba, H. M., Veloz, S., Vellend, M., McLachlan, J., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B. & He, F. (2012). The Ice Age Ecologist: Testing methods for reserve prioritization during the last global warming. Global Ecology and Biogeography
Veloz, S., Williams, J.W., Blois, J.L., He, F., Otto-Bliesner, B., and Z. Liu (2012). No-analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late Quaternary: implications for 21st-century predictions by species distribution models. Global Change Biology 18: 1698-1713
Clark, P.U., Shakun, J.D., Baker, P.A., Bartlein, P.J., Brewer, S., Brook, E.J., Carlson, A.E., Cheng, H., Kaufman, D.S., Liu, Z., Marchitto, T.M., Mix, A.C., Morrill, C., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pahnke, K., Russell, J.M., Whitlock, C., Adkins, J.F., Blois, J.L., Clark, J., Colman, S.C., Curry, W.B., Flower, B.P., He, F., Johnson, T.C., Lynch-Stieglitz, J., Markgraf, V., McManus, J.F., Mitrovica, J.X., Moreno, P.I., and J.W. Williams (2012). Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109: E1134-E1142
Gill, J.L., Williams, J.W., Jackson, S.T., Donnelly, J.P., and Schellinger, G.C. (2012). Climatic and megaherbivory controls on late-glacial vegetation dynamics: a new, high-resolution, multi-proxy record from Silver Lake, Ohio. Quaternary Science Reviews 34: 66-80.
Blois, J.L., Williams, J.W., Grimm, E.C., Jackson, S.T., & Graham, R.W. (2011). A methodological framework for assessing and reducing temporal uncertainty in paleovegetation mapping from late-Quaternary pollen records. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 1926-1939.
Williams, J.W., Tarasov, P.A., Brewer, S., and Notaro, M. (2011). Late-Quaternary variations in tree cover at the northern forest-tundra ecotone. Journal of Geophysical Research– Biogeosciences 116: G01017.
Notaro, M., Liu, Z., Gallimore, R.G., Williams, J.W., Gutzler, D., and Collins, S. (2010). The complex seasonal cycle of ecohydrology in the southwest United States. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 115: G04034.
Henderson, A.K., Nelson, D.M., Hu, F.S., Huang, Y., Shuman, B.N., and Williams, J.W. (2010). Holocene precipitation seasonality captured by a dual hydrogen and oxygen isotope approach at Steel Lake, Minnesota. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 300: 205-214.
Liu, Y., Jackson, S.T., Brewer, S., and Williams, J.W. (2010). Assessing antiquity and turnover of terrestrial ecosystems in eastern North America using fossil pollen data: A preliminary study. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
Elias, P.M., Menon, G., Wetzel, B.K., and Williams, J.W. (2010). Barrier requirements as the evolutionary "driver" of epidermal pigmentation in humans. American Journal of Human Biology 22: 526-537.
Williams, J.W., Shuman, B., Bartlein, P.J., Diffenbaugh, N.S. and Webb, T., III (2010) Rapid, time-transgressive, and variable responses to early-Holocene midcontinental drying in North America. Geology 38:135-138.
Gonzales, L.M., Williams, J.W., and Grimm, E.C. (2009). Expanded response surfaces: A new method to reconstruct paleoclimates from fossil pollen assemblages that lack modern analogues. Quaternary Science Reviews 28: 3315-3332.
Gill, J. L., Williams, J. W., Jackson, S. T., Lininger, K., and Robinson, G. S. (2009). Pleistocene megafaunal collapse preceded novel plant communities and enhanced fire regimes. Science 326: 1100-1103. . See also the accompanying Perspectives article by Christopher Johnson and listen to the podcast.
Richardson, D. M., J. J. Hellmann, J. McLachlan, D. F. Sax, M. W. Schwartz, J. Brennan, P. Gonzalez, T. Root, O. Sala, S. H. Schneider, D. Ashe, A. Camacho, J. R. Clark, R. Early, J. Etterson, D. Fielder, J.L. Gill, B. A. Minteer, S. Polasky, H. Safford, A. Thompson, and M. Vellend. (2009). Multidimensional evaluation of managed relocation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106: 9721-9724
Lorenz, D. J., Vavrus, S. J., Vimont, D. J., Williams, J. W., Notaro, M., Young, J. A., DeWeaver, E. T., and Hopkins, E. J. (2009). Wisconsin's changing climate: temperature. Understanding Climate Change: Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States. Edited by S. C. Pryor. Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, pp. 76-87.
Lorenz, D. J., Vavrus, S. J., Vimont, D. J., Williams, J. W., Notaro, M., Young, J. A., DeWeaver, E. T., and Hopkins, E. J. (2009). Wisconsin's changing climate: hydrologic cycle. Understanding Climate Change: Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States. Edited by S. C. Pryor. Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, pp. 135-144.
Elias, P.M., Menon, G., Wetzel, B.K., and Williams, J.W. (2009). Evidence that stress to the epidermal barrier influenced the development of pigmentation in humans. Pigment Cell and Melanoma Research 22:420-434.
Gonzales, L.M., Williams, J.W, and Kaplan, J.O. (2008) Variations in leaf area index in northern and eastern North America over the past 21 000 years: A data-model comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews 27: 1453-1466.
Williams, J.W., Gonzales, L.M., Kaplan, J.O., (2008) Leaf area index for northern and eastern North America at the Last Glacial Maximum: a data-model comparison. Global Ecology and Biogeography 17: 122-134.
Williams, J. W., and Shuman, B. (2008). Obtaining accurate and precise environmental reconstructions from the modern analog technique and North American surface pollen dataset. Quaternary Science Reviews 27: 669-687.
Cook, E.R. Bartlein, P. J., Diffenbaugh, N. S., Seager, R., Shuman, B., Webb, R. S., Williams, J. W., Woodhouse, C. A. (2008) Hydrological variability and change, Abrupt Climate Change, A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington, DC.
Minckley, T.A. Bartlein, P. J., Whitlock, C., Shuman, B. N., Williams, J. W., Davis, O. K. (2008) Associations among modern pollen, vegetation, and climate in western North America. Quaternary Science Reviews 27: 1939-2094.
Williams, J. W., Jackson, S. T., Kutzbach, J. E. (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100AD. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104: 5738-5742. (Powerpoint Slides)
Tarasov, P.E., Williams, J.W., Andreev, A.A., Nakagawa, T., Bezrukova, E., Herzschuh, U., Igarashi, Y., Müller, H. (2007) Satellite- and pollen-based quantitative woody cover reconstructions for northern Asia: verification and application to late-Quaternary pollen data. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 264: 284-298.
Williams, J. W., B. Shuman, P. J. Bartlein, J. Whitmore, K. Gajewski, M. Sawada, T. Minckley, S. Shafer, A. E. Viau, T. Webb, III, P. M. Anderson, L. B. Brubaker, C. Whitlock, and O. K. Davis. (2006). An Atlas of Pollen-Vegetation-Climate Relationships for the United States and Canada. American Association of Stratigraphic Palynologists Foundation, Dallas, TX, 293p.
Diffenbaugh, N. S., Ashfaq, M., Shuman, B., Williams, J. W., Bartlein, P. J. (2006). Summer aridity in the United States: Response to Mid-Holocene changes in insolation and sea surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters 33, DOI: 10.1029/2006GL028012
Seabloom, E. W., Williams, J. W., Slayback, D., Stoms, D. M., Viers, J. H., Dobson, A. P. (2006) Human impacts, plant invasion, and imperiled species in California. Ecological Applications 16: 1338-1350.
Kutzbach, J. E., Williams, J. W., and Vavrus, S. J. (2005) Simulated 21st century changes in regional water balance of the Great Lakes region and links to changes in global temperature and poleward moisture transport. Geophysical Research Letters 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL023506.
Williams, J. W., Seabloom, E. W., Slayback, D., Stoms, D. M., Viers, J. H. (2005) Anthropogenic impacts upon plant species richness and net primary productivity in California. Ecology Letters 8: 127-137.
Whitmore, J., Gajewski, K., Sawada, M., Williams, J. W., Shuman, B., Bartlein, P. J., Minckley, T., Viau, A. E., Webb, T., III, Anderson, P. M., and Brubaker, L. B. (2005). North American and Greenland modern pollen data for multi-scale paleoecological and paleoclimatic applications. Quaternary Science Reviews 24, 1828-1848.
Webb, T., Shuman, B. N., Williams, J. W. (2004) Climatically forced vegetation dynamics in eastern North America during the late Quaternary period. The Quaternary Period in the United States. Edited by Gillespie, A. R., Porter, S. C., Atwater, B. F. Elsevier, pp. 459-478.
Chalcraft, D. R., Williams, J. W., Smith, M. D., Willig, M. R. (2004) Scale dependence in the relationship between diversity and productivity: assessing the role of spatial and temporal turnover. Ecology 85: 2701-2708.
Shuman, B. N., Webb III, T., Bartlein, P. J., Williams, J. W. (2002) The anatomy of a climatic oscillation: Vegetation change in eastern North America during the Younger Dryas chronozone. Quaternary Science Reviews 21: 1777-1791.
Edwards, M. E., Anderson, P. M., Brubaker, L. B., Ager, T., Andreev, A. A., Bigelow, N. H., Cwynar, L. C., Eisner, W. R., Harrison, S. P., Hu, F.-S., Jolly, D., Lozhkin, A. V., McDonald, G. M., Mock, C. J., Ritchie, J. C., Sher, A. V., Spear, R. W., Williams, J. W., and Yu., G. (2000) Pollen-based biomes for Beringia 18,000, 6000, and 0 14C yr. B.P. Journal of Biogeography 27: 521-554.
Williams, J. W., Webb III, T., Shuman, B. N., and Bartlein, P. J. (2000) Do low CO2 concentrations affect pollen-based reconstructions of LGM climates? A response to ‘Physiological significance of low atmospheric CO2 for plant-climate interactions’ by Cowling and Sykes. Quaternary Research 53: 402-404.
Williams, J. W., Bartlein, P. J., and Webb III, T. (2000) Data-model comparisons for eastern North America - inferred biomes and climate values from pollen data. Proceedings of the Third Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Workshop, Oct. 4-8, 1999. Montreal, Canada. Edited by P. Braconnot. WCRP-111, WMO/TD-No. 1007.
Jackson, S. T., Webb, R. S., Anderson, K. H., Overpeck, J. T., Webb III, T., Williams, J. W., and Hansen, B. C. S. (2000) Vegetation and environment in eastern North America during the last glacial maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews 19: 489-508.
Williams, J. W., Summers, R., and Webb III, T. (1998) Applying plant functional types to construct biome maps from eastern North American pollen data: comparisons with model results. Quaternary Science Reviews 17: 607-627.
Leduc, P. L., Williams, J. W., and Webb III, T. (1998) Programs for site selection, tabular display, and interpolation of data from Paradox-based pollen databases. INQUA Newsletter 17.
Williams, J. W. (1995) Factors controlling the formation of fossiliferous beds in the Devonian Columbus limestone at Marblehead Quarry, Marblehead, Ohio. Ohio Journal of Sciences 95: 325-330.
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